Iran Rejects Ceasefire
this I think is is clearly an act of desperation and it does seem that Trump is desperate. It does seem that he is not doing well. Over the past few hours, he's been saying all sorts of crazy things. And at one moment, he speaks about the war coming to an end. Then he speaks about destroying the Iranian nation. And you don't see any outrage in the West. You don't see European leaders outraged when he talks about destroying the Iranian nation.
bombs produce gamechanging nationalism inside of the society that fuses the society and the regime closer together. It doesn't make it perfectly wedded but closer together here. And what that does is means the strategy itself is self-contradictory. It's selfdefeating.
the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have basically told the US troops present at Prince Sultan air base you're on your own. you know, we're not doing anything else. You're on your own. I think they recognize that the United States cannot guarantee their security. They're already witnessing that the air defense systems that they were supposed to work to prevent Iranian hits have failed, utterly failed. And that Iran's now in the driver's seat by virtue of controlling having shut off the flow of oil, liquid natural gas, and nitrogen, urea, which is for fertilizer, out of the Persian Gulf. This is going to hit the global economy. There will be a global recession. The only question is how deep and will it even go to a global depression. It's not going to affect all countries the same. Countries like Russia is going to do quite well out of this. China will also do okay but Russia's going to do the best because it's got the oil liquid natural gas and the nitrogen needed for fertilizer. However, with a third, between 30% and 35%, of the world fertilizer no longer coming out of the Gulf, you're going to look at conditions in some parts of the world of starvation. You're gonna get a dramatic reduction in food production and that food production is going to lead to hunger. It's going to lead to further political chaos around the world. So, you know what Trump has done is he has essentially set the world on fire.
[. . .]
Donald Trump has created a surge of patriotism in Iran, nationalism, national pride that they will fight and defy anything that the United States wants to do. You know, I want to combat one of the biggest lies about Iran is to recognize they do have limits. They impose limits on what they do to other countries. Unlike the United States back in the war started in September of 1980 when Iraq launched the attack on Iran at beh of the United States with the support of Jimmy Carter and Ziggnia Bjinski. that continued into the Reagan administration and in August of 1983 with support from people like Donald Rumsfeld by providing chemical precursors Iraq launched the first of chemical weapon attacks, weapons of mass destruction on Iran and those continued for the next six years with the last one taking place in August of 1988. During that entire time, Iran never retaliated with chemical weapons and did not start building chemical weapons for the same reason they didn't build a nuclear weapon. It was haram. It was a sin. These are people that actually live by some honorable principles, unlike the United States who sucker punched a country that was trying to negotiate in good faith, who murdered girls, school girls, and killed a female volleyball team, among other things. And why? All based on a lie, a claim that Iran was preparing to attack us when in the history of the 46 years that Iran's been around, it's been the United States that's been sponsoring terrorist attacks against Iran, including our proxy use of Iraq to attack Iran and inflict over 300,000 dead Iranians. Americans need to wake up to this lie, this audacious lie. It's not Iran that threatens us. We threaten the world.
you've already heard complaints from Saudi Arabia that their shield, these American bases, turned into targets and then they weren't defended. And what they're doing now is they're reassessing whether or not they have the money to invest a couple of trillion dollars, not them, but collectively into the United States. You know, but in terms of East Asia, this is a huge shock. You haven't heard much about it, but what is somebody like Japan going to do? 95% of their oil comes, you know, over over the sea. And it's coming from, you know, the Persian Gulf. They don't have huge reserves where they can hold out for two or three years and I think they have a couple of weeks or a couple months depending on whether they're able to sub secure additional ones but any oil that they get from now on is going to be extremely expensive and this completely upends uh the efforts of the current Takahashi to you know change Japan's 's economy, they're out the window. Inflation is going to be rampant. Costs of everything are going to go up. You have Japanese people who feel like American people, like European people, seems to be a common malaise among developed nations that they don't have any money, that they're living kind of hand-to-mouth. Things are not good. And now you have something like this going along where you're, you know, the price of gasoline and everything associated because people think, oh, gas is up. Well, don't drive your car so much. Nonsense. They depend on fish. Fishing boats, last time I checked, burn a lot of diesel. They can't buy diesel. I mean, already you've seen in Thailand say that half the fishing fleet is not going out. That means that the boats that do go out and pay for the expense of diesel are going to be charging more for the fish that they do. Fertilizers. 40% of fertilizers coming out of the Middle East. Now they're not. So you have a situation, you have to have the fertilizer in order to grow the crops. If you don't, you're in big trouble. Your yields are go down. So as a result, the price of food is going to go up. Price, you know, we we run on an energy economy.
[. . .]
this is not something that's going to go away within 6 months. This is something that we're going to be dealing with for the next 10 to 15 years, let alone after that. When you start dealing with the terrorism and extremism that this is causing, I mean that's the part, I don't understand if you read history you understand that doing these things doesn't help, it hurts, so the question is why are you doing them
in January, a lot of people at the top levels were very concerned about Trump's mindset mentality. The art of the deal was you would expect the best but plan for the worst. It was realism balanced with positive thinking. The realism is now gone from Trump's mindset mentality. He doesn't plan for the worst at all. He just now has wishful thinking has replaced it. That's why he told the Europeans earlier in the week, "Oh, Iran's already surrendered. They're just waiting to have somebody appointed as supreme leader to officially announce it." Trump was convincing himself of these kind of things, utterly insane things.
